The 2024 US election looms large as a critical junction not just for its citizenry but for far-flung nations that find themselves tethered to the superpower’s shifting allegiances.
Bangladesh, particularly, stands at the cusp of transformation.
With the recent toppling of Sheikh Hasina’s decades-long rule, Dhaka has entered a tenuous, albeit hopeful, era of political recalibration.
The ripples from Washington’s electoral decision will not only reveal America’s stance on Bangladesh's future but also signify what kind of post-Hasina era awaits this South Asian state.
The recent upheaval in Dhaka has left Bangladesh vulnerable yet eager for democratic revival.
A Biden administration renewal might imply steady support for democratic institutions, potentially prioritising human rights and governance aid, while a Republican pivot could redefine economic priorities, possibly favouring trade and strategic counter-China alliances over explicit democratic support.
Washington’s posture towards Dhaka, therefore, may serve as a signal for Bangladesh’s evolving relationship with global powers, especially the US and India, as it navigates its post-autocratic landscape.
Should the Democrats retain power, we might expect continued emphasis on climate resilience, clean energy initiatives, and sustainable trade practices—fields where Bangladesh’s economy could find crucial support.
On the other hand, a Republican-led White House could prompt a shift towards unfiltered economic growth strategies, potentially focusing on enhanced trade deals and foreign investment without stringent human rights benchmarks.
Bangladesh’s garment industry, the bedrock of its economy, could stand to benefit or suffer depending on these diverging approaches, impacting millions reliant on its stability and growth.
The geographical and diplomatic closeness to China adds a complex layer to US-Bangladesh relations.
Under Biden, Bangladesh may experience a more cautious, balanced approach with room for multilateral cooperation involving China, whereas a Republican leadership might steer a more hard-line stance against Beijing, pressuring Bangladesh to choose sides.
This tug-of-war could reshape Bangladesh’s foreign policy, testing its newfound democratic resolve and autonomy, especially in matters of defence and infrastructure development.
America’s influence on Bangladesh extends beyond mere policy; it permeates the cultural and ideological fabric of the nation.
A Harris administration would likely invest in the region’s civic space, supporting education, arts, and civic journalism as part of a broader soft-power initiative.
Conversely, a Trump administration might streamline these initiatives, focusing instead on mutual economic gain rather than cultural exchange.
For the youth of Bangladesh, especially those who’ve taken to streets and social media to demand democratic reforms, such shifts may influence their attitudes towards the West and their own country’s ideals.
In post-Hasina Bangladesh, a coalition government with diverse representation aspires to repair a deeply polarised society.
Here, American foreign policy—be it “America First” or a liberal internationalist stance—will cast a long shadow over Dhaka’s power corridors.
America’s approach will influence how this emergent government defines itself on the global stage - as a true democracy committed to transparency or a state still beholden to the interests of powerful neighbours and economic benefactors.
Ultimately, the US election of 2024 presents Bangladesh with a daunting uncertainty - the prospect of choosing between becoming a satellite for economic gain or pursuing a path of democratic integrity.
For Bangladesh's new leaders, this moment is a trial of vision and resilience; for its citizens, a promise that awaits fulfilment.
America’s choice this November may prove pivotal for Bangladesh’s first steps into this uncharted era.
