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Bridging divides, filling gaps: Can interim govt tame inflation and restore stability?

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Interim government is undertaking a broad reform agenda to combat inflation, corruption, and political instability, yet entrenched structural issues and partisan divides threaten to undermine its ambitious efforts for sustainable growth and stability

Morshed Noman

Publisted at 4:11 PM, Wed Jan 1st, 2025

The interim government of Bangladesh has embarked on an ambitious journey to address entrenched political, economic, and administrative challenges. 

With the nation grappling with rising inflation, economic uncertainty, and political instability, the government has prioritised stabilising essential commodity prices, curbing corruption, and enhancing administrative efficiency. 

These efforts are complemented by the formation of high-profile reform commissions to tackle issues in various sectors, aiming to lay the groundwork for long-term stability and progress.

Economic Reform Commission has spearheaded initiatives to stabilise prices and curb market manipulation. 

Targeted subsidies in agriculture and energy have eased the financial burden on vulnerable populations, while efforts to monitor market activities and dismantle monopolistic syndicates have improved the availability of essential goods. 

Measures to formalise remittance inflows, incentivise exporters, and restrict non-essential imports have contributed to a modest stabilisation of foreign currency reserves, bolstering confidence in the government’s economic stewardship.

Administrative Reform Commission has introduced mandatory asset declarations for public officials and reshuffled key administrative roles to disrupt entrenched power hierarchies. 

Digital governance tools, including e-filing systems and online service delivery platforms, have enhanced bureaucratic efficiency and reduced corruption in departments like land and revenue services. 

Public satisfaction has increased in areas where digital systems have streamlined operations.

Election Reform Commission has made strides in preparing for free and fair elections. 

Digitisation of voter rolls and the introduction of independent monitoring teams are among the initiatives aimed at improving electoral transparency. 

Initial consultations with stakeholders have sought to promote inclusivity and consensus. 

While mistrust among political factions persists, these efforts signal a commitment to reforming the electoral process.

In the realm of law and order, accountability measures have been implemented to address public mistrust. 

Anti-corruption training programs for law enforcement agencies and proposals for an independent police oversight board have been key components of the reform agenda. 

Improvements in public safety have been noted in urban areas, where enforcement against extortion and illegal activities has been strengthened.

The interim government has shifted focus toward renewable energy and increased domestic production to tackle the energy crisis. 

Policies encouraging public consultations on energy tariffs and reviews of legacy foreign contracts have been introduced. 

These measures have mitigated some vulnerabilities, though reliance on costly imports remains a significant challenge.

Despite the government’s initiatives, inflation continues to erode purchasing power. Export performance has been inconsistent, with the garment sector—Bangladesh’s economic backbone—struggling to maintain competitiveness due to rising production costs and inadequate infrastructure. 

Although remittance inflows have increased, inefficiencies in the formal banking system limit their full potential.

Bureaucratic inertia and resistance to change have hampered the implementation of key reforms. 

While digital governance tools have improved efficiency in select areas, entrenched interests and limited digital literacy among public servants remain obstacles. 

Mandatory asset declarations have faced criticism from officials citing privacy concerns, further complicating transparency efforts.

Efforts to reform the electoral process are hindered by political polarisation. 

Opposition parties accuse the government of favouring specific agendas, while ruling party affiliates resist changes that might dilute their influence. 

This lack of consensus delays progress on critical electoral reforms, including the independence of the Election Commission.

Interim government’s foreign policy faces challenges due to regional geopolitical tensions and domestic economic vulnerabilities. 

Relations with India remain tested over unresolved trade and border disputes, while diversification of partnerships with China, the EU, and Gulf countries faces bureaucratic delays. 

The ongoing Rohingya refugee crisis adds further strain to resources and international relations.

Corruption and misuse of power within law enforcement agencies continue to erode public trust. Judicial backlogs and selective application of justice create perceptions of systemic bias. 

Proposed oversight mechanisms face delays, undermining efforts to restore public confidence in the rule of law.

Political polarisation is one of the most significant barriers to reform. While the interim government has initiated dialogue to foster inclusivity, rival factions remain deeply mistrustful. 

Opposition groups allege that the government’s reform agenda serves its own interests, further exacerbating divisions. 

This lack of cooperation impedes progress on critical national issues, including economic recovery and governance.

To overcome these challenges, the interim government must strengthen regulatory frameworks, enforce stringent penalties for market manipulators, and consistently apply regulations to curb inflation and corruption.

It should invest in infrastructure upgrades and diversify the export basket to reduce dependence on garments. Expanding digital governance tools, incentivising merit-based appointments, and reducing bureaucratic resistance are essential steps forward. 

Transparent, bipartisan discussions on electoral reforms are needed to reduce polarisation and build trust. Resolving trade disputes with key partners, diversifying economic alliances, and strengthening responses to the Rohingya crisis will help address foreign policy challenges. 

Restoring public trust through operationalising oversight bodies for law enforcement and implementing transparent judicial processes is also critical.

The interim government’s reform agenda represents a crucial opportunity to address Bangladesh’s longstanding challenges. 

Visible successes in stabilising markets, improving governance, and initiating political dialogue are commendable. 

However, persistent structural issues, economic vulnerabilities, and political divisions threaten to derail progress. 

Transparency, inclusivity, and robust implementation will be key to ensuring sustainable growth and stability, paving the way for a resilient future.

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